United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008 Article

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United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008

←  2004 November 4, 2008 2012 →
  John McCain official portrait 2009.jpg Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 164,958 82,868
Percentage 64.78% 32.54%

Wyoming presidential election results 2008.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Wyoming was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 32.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Polling in the state gave a hefty and large lead to Republican John McCain over Democrat Barack Obama. Because of Wyoming's status as a safe red state, none of the major party candidates campaigned in the state. Despite McCain's landslide victory, Obama did do significantly better than John Kerry in 2004 and even won one more county than Kerry. This is the most recent election in which the Democratic candidate received more than 30% of the vote in Wyoming.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 17 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican [1]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican [2]
  3. Takeaway: Solid McCain [3]
  4. Election Projection: Solid McCain [4]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Strong Republican [5]
  6. Washington Post: Solid McCain [6]
  7. Politico: Solid McCain [7]
  8. Real Clear Politics: Solid McCain [8]
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain [9]
  10. CQ Politics: Safe Republican [10]
  11. New York Times: Solid Republican [11]
  12. CNN: Safe Republican [12]
  13. NPR: Solid McCain [13]
  14. MSNBC: Solid McCain [14]
  15. Fox News: Republican [15]
  16. Associated Press: Republican [16]
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican [17]

Polling

McCain won every single pre-election poll, and each by a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls average McCain leading with 58% to 35%. [18]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $447,757 in the state. Barack Obama raised $723,033. [19]

Advertising and visits

Because Wyoming is a strong red state, not much advertising went into the state. Obama didn't spend anything while the Republican National Committee spent $2,518. [20] Neither campaign visited the state. [21]

Analysis

Voting taking place in a Laramie, Wyoming polling station

Located in the Inner Mountain West, Wyoming was home to then-incumbent Vice President Dick Cheney. It is one of the most reliably Republican states in the nation—and by some measures, the most Republican. Its demographics are a perfect fit for the Republican Party. It is the least populated state in the nation (even less than the District of Columbia), has no major metropolitan areas, and is a heavily rural and White/Caucasian state. Voters in the state tend to be very conservative on both social and fiscal issues. No Democratic presidential nominee has won Wyoming since Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide election in 1964--one of only five times a Democrat has won the state since statehood. Democrats however, did hold the state's governorship all but eight years between 1975 and 2011.

Republicans have several structural advantages in the state. Large chunks of Wyoming are located in out-of-state television markets—most notably Denver and Salt Lake City. This forces statewide candidates to advertise in areas where most of their audience can't vote for them. Additionally, 60 percent of the state's registered voters are Republicans while only 25 percent are Democrats—one of the largest discrepancies in the nation.

The 2008 election was no different. The state was called for McCain as soon as the polls closed, and gave McCain his second largest margin of victory in 2008. McCain carried Laramie County, the most populous county that contains the state capital and largest city of Cheyenne, with 58.98 percent of the vote as well as every other county throughout the state often by more than two-to-one margins but two. Obama greatly improved upon Kerry's performance in Teton County, the most affluent county in Wyoming that includes the Jackson Hole prime ski resort and tourism attractions such as Yellowstone National Park and Grand Teton National Park, carrying the county with 60.67% of the vote. Obama also won Albany County, due in large part to the presence of the University of Wyoming at Laramie and the tremendous excitement that his campaign fueled among younger voters and college students. As of the 2016 presidential election, this is the last time that Albany County voted for the Democratic candidate.

With 64.78% of the popular vote, Wyoming would prove to be McCain's second strongest state in the 2008 election after Oklahoma [22].

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike Enzi was reelected in a landslide victory over Democrat Chris Rothfuss, a professor of political science at the University of Wyoming. Enzi received 75.63% of the vote while Rothfuss took in 24.26%. For the state's other U.S. Senate seat's special election, incumbent Republican John Barrasso was also elected in a landslide with 73.35% of the vote over Democratic attorney Nick Carter of Gillette who received 26.53%. The state's sole seat in the United States House of Representatives was also up for grabs, with incumbent Republican U.S. Representative Barbara Cubin retiring. Former State Treasurer Cynthia Lummis, a Republican, defeated Democrat Gary Trauner and Libertarian W. David Herbert for the at-large seat. Lummis received 52.62% of the vote to Trauner's 42.81% and Herbert's 4.42%. Democrats did have success at the state level, however, as they picked up two seats in the Wyoming House of Representatives.

Results

United States presidential election in Wyoming, 2008
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 164,958 64.78% 3
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 82,868 32.54% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 2,525 0.99% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 1,594 0.63% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 1,521 0.60% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 1,192 0.47% 0
Totals 254,658 100.00% 3
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 64.1%

Results breakdown

By county

County McCain Votes Obama Votes Others Votes Total [23]
Albany 46.36% 7,936 50.50% 8,644 3.14% 537 17,117
Big Horn 77.49% 4,045 19.50% 1,018 3.01% 157 5,220
Campbell 79.72% 13,011 18.32% 2,990 1.95% 319 16,320
Carbon 63.19% 4,331 34.08% 2,336 2.73% 187 6,854
Converse 76.30% 4,922 21.39% 1,380 2.31% 149 6,451
Crook 80.56% 2,967 16.62% 612 2.82% 104 3,683
Fremont 63.00% 11,083 34.20% 6,016 2.80% 493 17,592
Goshen 66.68% 3,942 30.99% 1,832 2.33% 138 5,912
Hot Springs 72.03% 1,834 24.31% 619 3.65% 93 2,546
Johnson 76.57% 3,334 20.85% 908 2.57% 112 4,354
Laramie 58.98% 24,549 38.61% 16,072 2.41% 1,004 41,625
Lincoln 75.71% 6,485 21.28% 1,823 3.01% 258 8,566
Natrona 65.85% 21,906 31.49% 10,475 2.66% 886 33,267
Niobrara 78.65% 1,017 18.87% 244 2.47% 32 1,293
Park 72.33% 10,839 25.07% 3,757 2.60% 389 14,985
Platte 65.83% 3,002 30.86% 1,407 3.31% 151 4,560
Sheridan 67.93% 10,177 29.76% 4,458 2.31% 346 14,981
Sublette 76.12% 3,316 21.49% 936 2.39% 104 4,356
Sweetwater 62.02% 10,360 34.50% 5,762 3.48% 581 16,703
Teton 37.07% 4,565 60.67% 7,472 2.27% 279 12,316
Uinta 68.73% 5,763 27.63% 2,317 3.64% 305 8,385
Washakie 72.29% 2,956 25.48% 1,042 2.23% 91 4,089
Weston 77.16% 2,618 19.39% 658 3.45% 117 3,393

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District McCain Obama Representative
At-large 64.8% 32.5% Cynthia Lummis

Electors

Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. [24] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin: [25]

  1. Rosa Goolsby
  2. Ron Micheli
  3. Susan Thomas

References

  1. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html
  2. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on May 5, 2015. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
  3. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved November 14, 2009.
  4. ^ http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/president08.shtml
  5. ^ http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html
  6. ^ Based on Takeaway
  7. ^ http://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html
  8. ^ http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5
  9. ^ Based on Takeaway
  10. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on June 14, 2009. Retrieved December 20, 2009.
  11. ^ Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  12. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker – CNN.com Blogs". CNN. October 31, 2008. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  13. ^ Based on Takeaway
  14. ^ Based on Takeaway
  15. ^ "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  16. ^ http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/
  17. ^ http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
  18. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=56
  19. ^ http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=WY&cand_id=P00000001
  20. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  21. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  22. ^ "2008 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  23. ^ "Total Ballots by County – WY Sec. of State" (PDF). Retrieved 2008-11-20.
  24. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  25. ^ http://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/WyoPresElectorInfo.aspx

See also