2004 United States presidential election in Utah Article

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search
United States presidential election in Utah, 2004

←  2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
  George-W-Bush.jpeg John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 5 0
Popular vote 663,742 241,199
Percentage 71.54% 26.00%

2004UtahPresidentialElection.svg
County Results
Bush
  50-60%
  60-70%
  70-80%
  80-90%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Utah was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 45.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It is a strongly Republican state that in 2004 had a state legislature with a "super-majority" of Republicans in its make-up (meaning the minority parties are unable to block a veto by its members), both U.S. Senators being Republican as well as two of the three members of the U.S. House of Representatives. With 71.54% of the popular vote, Utah was Bush's strongest state in the 2004 election [1].

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. [2]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

The final 3 polls averaged Bush with 67% to Kerry with 25%. [3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $561,645. [4] Kerry raised $262,031. [5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election. [6] [7]

Analysis

Republicans dominate Utah state politics because of the very high Mormon population that accounts for almost 70% of the residents throughout the state. Mormons have been known for having very conservative values. While every county voted for Bush, areas such as Park City (ski resort), Moab (becoming an outpost for environmental activists), Carbon County (largely blue collar), Salt Lake City (urban area with some diversity) and San Juan County (economically distressed and mostly Native American) did give a number of their votes to Kerry. However, other areas were uniformly Republican in voting. Utah County's (home of Provo and Brigham Young University) Republican vote (86%) was by far the largest percentage of any county its size in America.

Results

United States presidential election in Utah, 2004 [8]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush ( incumbent) 663,742 71.54% 5
Democratic John Kerry 241,199 26.00% 0
Independent Ralph Nader 11,305 1.22% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 6,841 0.74% 0
Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik 3,375 0.36% 0
Personal Choice Party Charles Jay 946 0.10% 0
Socialist Workers Party Roger Calero 393 0.04% 0
Green Party David Cobb 39 0.00% 0
Write Ins 4 0.00% 0
Totals - 100.00% 5
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 57.7%

Results breakdown

By county

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others# Total
Beaver County 19.38% 493 79.52% 2,023 1.10% 28 2,544
Box Elder County 12.22% 2,244 85.75% 15,751 2.03% 373 18,368
Cache County 16.05% 6,375 81.76% 32,486 2.19% 870 39,731
Carbon County 40.14% 3,415 58.18% 4,950 1.68% 143 8,508
Daggett County 21.64% 108 76.15% 380 2.20% 11 499
Davis County 19.12% 20,893 78.88% 86,187 2.00% 2,188 109,268
Duchesne County 13.28% 738 85.35% 4,742 1.37% 76 5,556
Emery County 17.76% 831 80.83% 3,781 1.41% 66 4,678
Garfield County 12.21% 264 85.48% 1,848 2.31% 50 2,162
Grand County 44.61% 1,858 51.14% 2,130 4.25% 177 4,165
Iron County 14.68% 2,267 82.97% 12,815 2.36% 364 15,446
Juab County 17.71% 605 78.46% 2,681 3.83% 131 3,417
Kane County 18.88% 576 79.12% 2,414 2.00% 61 3,051
Millard County 12.84% 626 83.74% 4,084 3.42% 167 4,877
Morgan County 12.29% 472 85.94% 3,301 1.77% 68 3,841
Piute County 15.91% 123 83.57% 646 0.52% 4 773
Rich County 10.51% 109 88.91% 922 0.58% 6 1,037
Salt Lake County 37.54% 135,949 59.57% 215,728 2.89% 10,461 362,138
San Juan County 38.51% 1,906 60.02% 2,971 1.47% 73 4,950
Sanpete County 13.98% 1,189 82.33% 7,004 3.69% 314 8,507
Sevier County 12.04% 920 86.34% 6,597 1.62% 124 7,641
Summit County 45.57% 6,977 51.83% 7,936 2.61% 399 15,312
Tooele County 24.78% 4,130 73.10% 12,181 2.12% 353 16,664
Uintah County 12.71% 1,266 85.55% 8,518 1.74% 173 9,957
Utah County 11.64% 17,357 85.99% 128,269 2.38% 3,547 149,173
Wasatch County 24.68% 1,854 73.26% 5,503 2.06% 155 7,512
Washington County 17.07% 7,513 80.95% 35,633 1.98% 872 44,018
Wayne County 20.51% 279 78.09% 1,062 1.40% 19 1,360
Weber County 27.32% 19,862 70.43% 51,199 2.24% 1,630 72,691

By congressional district

Bush won all three congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 73% 25% Rob Bishop
2nd 66% 31% Jim Matheson
3rd 77% 20% Chris Cannon

Electors

Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated 5 electors because it has 3 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Olene S. Walker
  2. Gayle McKeachnie
  3. Lewis K. Billings
  4. Joseph A. Cannon
  5. Scott F. Simpson

References

  1. ^ "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  2. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[ permanent dead link]
  3. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=49
  4. ^ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  5. ^ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  6. ^ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
  7. ^ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html
  8. ^ "2004 Presidential General Election Results - Utah".

See also