United States presidential election in Maine, 2016 Article

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United States presidential election in Maine, 2016

←  2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout72.53%
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson
Party Republican Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence William Weld
Electoral vote 3 1 0
Popular vote 357,735 335,593 38,105
Percentage 47.83% 44.87% 5.19%

Maine Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Maine was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5 and 6, 2016, in the caucuses, voters expressed their preferences for the Republican, Democratic, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's caucus, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

On election day, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton carried Maine's two at-large electoral votes with a plurality and won Maine's 1st congressional district while Republican nominee (and national election winner) Donald Trump won Maine's 2nd congressional district, making him the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988 and making him the first Republican to win an electoral vote from a New England state since George W. Bush won New Hampshire in 2000. Although regarded as a safe blue state, Maine shifted dramatically and unexpectedly towards the Republicans, with Hillary Clinton's 2.9% margin of victory the narrowest for a Democrat since 1988, when Republicans last won the state, and well down on Obama's 15.3% margin just 4 years earlier.

This was the first time since the 1828 election of Democratic nominee Andrew Jackson that an electoral vote split occurred in Maine and the first time that a split occurred after Maine began awarding electoral votes based on congressional districts in 1972.

Primary elections

Democratic caucus

Democratic caucus results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
Maine Democratic caucuses, March 6, 2016
Candidate State convention delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 2,226 64.17% 17 1 18
Hillary Clinton 1,231 35.49% 8 4 12
Uncommitted 12 0.35% 0 0 0
Total 3,469 100% 25 5 30
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucus

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, and John Kasich were all on the ballot for the 2016 Maine state Republican caucuses. The caucuses were held on March 5, 2016, in the following counties in Maine: Cumberland, Franklin, Piscataquis, Somerset, Aroostook, Androscoggin, Sagadahoc, Kennebec, Lincoln, Knox, Hancock, Waldo, Washington, York, Oxford, and Penobscot.

Ted Cruz won the caucus with 45.9% of the vote and was awarded 12 delegates, with Donald Trump in second, receiving 32.59% of the votes and 9 delegates. [1]

Maine Republican municipal caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 8,550 45.90% 12 0 12
Donald Trump 6,070 32.59% 9 0 9
John Kasich 2,270 12.19% 2 0 2
Marco Rubio 1,492 8.01% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 132 0.71% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 55 0.3% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 31 0.17% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 17 0.09% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 10 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 18,627 100% 23 0 23
Source: The Green Papers

Green caucus

Maine held a series of caucuses throughout the state between February 27 and March 19. The Maine Green Independent Party didn't compile the results until the state convention on May 7, during which it then assigned delegates based on the results. [2] [3]

On March 13, 2016, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the Maine Green Independent Party caucuses. [4]

Maine Green Party presidential caucus, February 27 – March 19, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
America Symbol.svg Jill Stein - - -
William Kreml - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Uncommitted - - -
Total - - -

Libertarian convention

The Libertarian Party nominated its ticket, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson for president and former Massachusetts Governor William Weld for vice president, at its national convention in Orlando, Florida, on May 29, 2016. [5]

Until July 13, 2016, the Libertarian Party was not a legally recognized party in Maine. A 2013 change in the ballot access law permitted a party to gain recognition if they enroll 5,000 Maine voters in the party. The Libertarian Party of Maine turned approximately 6,500 signatures in to the Maine Secretary of State's office in 2015, but Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap invalidated 2,000 of them, bringing the total below the threshold required. The party then sued Dunlap, claiming Maine's ballot access requirements were unconstitutionally unreasonable. While losing an initial ruling by U.S. District Court Judge John Woodcock, [6] Woodcock later ordered that they be given until July 12 to collect the necessary signatures. [7] On July 13, Dunlap certified that 5,150 signatures had been validated, surpassing the threshold required to allow their candidates on the ballot. Maintenance of the status required obtaining 10,000 presidential votes in the general election. [8]

General election

Maine distributes 2 EVs based on the statewide vote and 1 EV for each congressional district's vote.

Polling

1st congressional district

Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Others Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center [9] November 2–3, 2016 450 4.7% 49% 35% 11% 5%
Maine People's Resource Center [10] October 24–26, 2016 429 4.7% 45% 33% 13% 9%
Maine People's Resource Center [11] October 14–15, 2016 469 4.5% 46% 36% 12% 7%
Maine People's Resource Center [12] October 7–9, 2016 468 4.5% 49% 32% 11% 8%
University of New Hampshire [13] September 15–20, 2016 50% 28% 14%
Maine People's Resource Center [14] September 15–17, 2016 440 4.7% 41% 30% 17% 12%
University of New Hampshire [15] June 15–21, 2016 48% 33% 16% 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton (D) Donald Trump (R) Gary Johnson (L) Jill Stein (G) Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center [9] November 2–3, 2016 49% 35% 7% 4% 6 450 ± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center [10] October 24–26, 2016 45% 33% 9% 4% 12 429 ± 4.7%
Maine People's Resource Center [11] October 14–15, 2016 45.5% 35.5% 7.9% 4% 10 469 ± 4.5%
Maine People's Resource Center [12] October 7–9, 2016 48.7% 32.3% 7.3% 3.4% 16.4 468 ± 4.5%
Maine People's Resource Center [14] September 15–17, 2016 41% 30% 12% 5% 11 440 ± 4.7%
Colby College/Boston Globe [16] September 4–10, 2016 49% 31% 9% 5% 18 382 ± 5.3%
Emerson College [17] September 2–5, 2016 52% 30% 9% 2% 22 404

2nd congressional district

Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Others Undecided
Maine People's Resource Center [9] November 2–3, 2016 405 4.9% 41% 43% 10% 6%
Maine People's Resource Center [10] October 24–26, 2016 382 5% 38% 41% 11% 9%
Maine People's Resource Center [11] October 14–15, 2016 420 4.8% 38% 37% 14% 11%
Maine People's Resource Center [12] October 7–9, 2016 424 4.8% 39% 40% 13% 8%
University of New Hampshire [13] September 15–20, 2016 34% 48% 16%
Maine People's Resource Center [14] September 15–17, 2016 396 4.9% 33% 44% 14% 9%
University of New Hampshire [15] June 15–21, 2016 36% 37% 23% 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton (D) Donald Trump (R) Gary Johnson (L) Jill Stein (G) Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center [9] November 2–3, 2016 41% 43% 8% 3% 2 405 ± 4.9%
Maine People's Resource Center [10] October 24–26, 2016 38% 41% 8% 3% 3 382 ± 5%
Maine People's Resource Center [11] October 14–15, 2016 38% 37% 11% 4% 1 420 ± 4.8%
Maine People's Resource Center [12] October 7–9, 2016 39% 40% 10% 2% 1 424 ± 4.8%
Maine People's Resource Center [14] September 15–17, 2016 33% 44% 10% 4% 11 396 ± 4.9%
Colby College/Boston Globe [16] September 4–10, 2016 37% 47% 8% 5% 10 397 ± 5.0%
Emerson College [17] September 2–5, 2016 36% 41% 14% 1% 5 399

Statewide results

United States presidential election in Maine, 2016 [18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hillary Clinton 357,735 47.83%
Republican Donald Trump 335,593 44.87%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 38,105 5.09%
Green Jill Stein 14,251 1.91%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 1,887 0.25%
Constitution Darrell Castle (write-in) 333 0.04%
Independent Laurence Kotlikoff (write-in) 16 0.00%
Independent Cherunda Lynn Fox (write-in) 7 0.00%
Invalid or blank votes 23,965 3.10% [19]
Majority 22,142 2.96%
Total votes 771,892 100.00%
Turnout   72.53
Democratic win

County results

Vote Break Down by County
Hillary Clinton
Democrat
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Evan McMullin
Independent
Darrell Castle
Constitution
Laurence Kotlikoff
Write-in
Cherunda Lynn Fox
Write-in
Invalid or blank votes Margin Total
County Congressional District[ citation needed] Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes With Out [20] Votes With [20] Turnout
Androscoggin 2nd 23,009 41.39% 28,227 50.77% 3,293 5.92% 883 1.59% 169 0.30% 19 0.03% 1 0.00% 0 0.00% 1,597 2.79% 5,218 9.38% 55,601 57,198
Aroostook 2nd 13,386 38.14% 19,419 55.33% 1,652 4.71% 516 1.47% 110 0.31% 13 0.04% 1 0.00% 0 0.00% 1,160 3.20% 6,033 17.19% 35,097 36,257
Cumberland 1st 102,981 59.93% 57,709 33.59% 7,407 4.31% 3,263 1.90% 354 0.21% 102 0.06% 2 0.00% 0 0.00% 5,117 2.89% 45,272 26.34% 171,818 176,935
Franklin 2nd 7,016 42.55% 7,918 48.02% 1,103 6.69% 376 2.28% 74 0.45% 0 0.00% 1 0.01% 0 0.00% 597 3.48% 902 5.47% 16,488 17,085
Hancock 2nd 16,117 50.16% 13,705 42.65% 1,560 4.86% 644 2.00% 92 0.29% 12 0.04% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 925 2.80% 2,412 7.51% 32,130 33,055
Kennebec 1st and 2nd 29,302 44.26% 31,675 47.84% 3,768 5.69% 1,284 1.94% 159 0.24% 20 0.03% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 2,203 3.22% 2,373 3.58% 66,208 68,411
Knox 1st 12,443 53.76% 9,148 39.52% 948 4.10% 535 2.31% 61 0.26% 11 0.05% 1 0.00% 0 0.00% 779 3.26% 3,295 14.24% 23,147 23,926
Lincoln 1st 10,241 47.63% 9,727 45.24% 1,039 4.83% 425 1.98% 60 0.28% 11 0.05% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 734 3.30% 514 2.39% 21,503 22,237
Oxford 2nd 12,172 39.01% 16,210 51.95% 2,045 6.55% 661 2.12% 92 0.29% 20 0.06% 1 0.00% 0 0.00% 1,204 3.72% 4,038 12.94% 31,201 32,405
Penobscot 2nd 32,838 40.77% 41,622 51.68% 4,377 5.43% 1,417 1.76% 250 0.31% 27 0.03% 3 0.00% 6 0.01% 2,475 2.98% 8,784 10.91% 80,540 83,015
Piscataquis 2nd 3,098 33.74% 5,406 58.88% 464 5.05% 179 1.95% 31 0.34% 4 0.04% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 336 3.53% 2,308 25.14% 9,182 9,518
Sagadahoc 1st 10,664 50.33% 9,304 40.04% 1,178 5.45% 436 2.02% 26 0.12% 7 0.03% 1 0.00% 0 0.00% 740 3.31% 1,360 6.29% 21,616 22,356
Somerset 2nd 9,092 34.88% 15,001 57.55% 1,362 5.23% 516 1.98% 83 0.32% 10 0.04% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 843 3.13% 5,909 22.67% 26,064 26,907
Waldo 2nd 10,440 45.98% 10,378 45.70% 1,220 5.37% 590 2.60% 68 0.30% 8 0.04% 3 0.01% 0 0.00% 764 3.26% 62 0.28% 22,707 23,471
Washington 2nd 6,075 37.12% 9,093 55.56% 791 4.83% 370 2.26% 30 0.18% 6 0.04% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 657 3.86% 3,018 18.44% 16,365 17,022
York 1st 55,844 48.87% 50,403 44.11% 5,695 4.98% 2,055 1.80% 214 0.19% 61 0.05% 2 0.00% 0 0.00% 3,771 3.19% 5,441 4.76% 114,274 118,045
Overseas Ballots N/A 3,017 75.69% 648 16.26% 203 5.09% 101 2.53% 14 0.35% 2 0.05% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 63 1.56% 2,369 59.43% 3,986 4,049

Congressional district

Clinton took the southern 1st district while Trump carried the more rural 2nd district. [21]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 39% 54% Chellie Pingree
2nd 51% 41% Bruce Poliquin

See also

References

  1. ^ "Maine Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2016-03-08.
  2. ^ "IT'S A CRUCIAL TIME TO BE A GREEN PARTY MEMBER!". Maine Green Independent Party. 2016-01-07. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
  3. ^ "SCHEDULED CAUCUSES". Maine Green Independent Party. 2016-01-07. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
  4. ^ "Maine Green Independent Party holds caucuses". WCSH6.com.
  5. ^ "Libertarian Party Selects Gary Johnson to be 2016 Nominee". C-SPAN.org. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  6. ^ Cousins, Christopher. "Judge rejects Libertarians' appeal to become Maine political party". The Bangor Daily News. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  7. ^ "Federal judge hands Maine libertarians a partial victory - The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". 2016-05-27. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  8. ^ "Libertarians become Maine's fourth political party | State & Capitol". Retrieved 2016-09-22.
  9. ^ a b c d "MPRC November 2016 Poll" (PDF).
  10. ^ a b c d "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. November 1, 2016.
  11. ^ a b c d "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 21, 2016.
  12. ^ a b c d "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. October 12, 2016.
  13. ^ a b "For the first time, it looks like Maine's electoral votes will be split". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
  14. ^ a b c d "Methodology" (PDF). Maine People's Resource Center. September 20, 2016.
  15. ^ a b "Charts: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram poll results". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. July 7, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  16. ^ a b "Colby College/Boston Globe Election Poll". Colby College. September 13, 2016.
  17. ^ a b "Polls: Trump Threatens to Flip New Jersey, Rhode Island; Clinton Leads in New England States". www.peoplespunditdaily.com. Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  18. ^ "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations". State.me.us. Retrieved 2017-08-25.
  19. ^ Percentage of Total Number Ballots Casted
  20. ^ a b Invalid or blank votes
  21. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com.

External links