United States presidential election in Alaska, 2016 Article

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United States presidential election in Alaska, 2016

←  2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout60.77% Increase
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine William Weld
Electoral vote 3 0 0
Popular vote 163,387 116,454 18,725
Percentage 51.28% 36.55% 5.88%

Alaska Presidential Election Results 2016 by Borough.svg
Results by borough and census area

Alaska Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
State house district results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Alaska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Alaska voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic presidential nomination in caucuses on March 26. They expressed their preferences for the Republican presidential nomination in caucuses on March 1.

Donald Trump won the election in Alaska with 51.28% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.55% of the vote. [1] Alaska has voted Republican in every election since 1968, and since its admission to the Union in 1959, it has only voted for the Democratic candidate on one occasion: President Lyndon B. Johnson's win in 1964.

The state is known for supporting third parties, including Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in the 2012 election, in which Alaska was his third-strongest state. He reran as the Libertarian Party's nominee for the 2016 election and appeared on the ballot in Alaska, garnering 5.88% of the vote, making Alaska again his third strongest state after New Mexico and North Dakota [2].

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote, [3] [4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes. [5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year. [6] [7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa. [8]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either. [9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Alaska

The state of Alaska has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket in every election year since 1968 and only once to a Democratic ticket since statehood. However, in 2012, it had the largest swing in favor of the Democratic Party with President Obama only losing by 14 points compared to his 2008 loss by 22 points. [10]

Alaska also has a history of supporting third-party candidates at the presidential level. Alaska was the second-best state for Ross Perot in the 1992 election, with Ross Perot garnering 28% of the vote. Alaska was Nader's strongest state in the 2000 presidential election, giving him 10% in his presidential bid. [11] Alaska was also the third-best state for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson in the 2012 election, giving him 2.46% of the vote, behind Johnson's home state of New Mexico, and Montana. [12] For this reason, Alaska has been considered to be one of Libertarian party nominee Gary Johnson's strongest states in the 2016 election.

Caucuses

The two major parties chose delegates on different days. [13]

Democratic caucuses

Alaska Democratic caucuses, 2016

←  2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 13 3
Popular vote 8,447 2,146
Percentage 79.61% 20.23%

Alaska Democratic Presidential Caucuses Election Results by State House District, 2016.svg
Alaska results by state house district
  Bernie Sanders

Opinion polling


e •  d  Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Alaska, 2016
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular Vote District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 8,447 79.6% 441 81.6% 13 1 14
Hillary Clinton 2,146 20.2% 100 18.5% 3 1 4
Rocky De La Fuente 1 0.0%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 0 0.0%
Uncommitted 16 0.2% 0 2 2
Total 10,610 100% 541 100% 16 4 20
Source: The Green Papers

Republican caucus

Alaska Republican caucuses, 2016

←  2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
  Ted Cruz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Texas New York
Delegate count 12 11
Popular vote 8,369 7,740
Percentage 36.37% 33.64%

  Marco Rubio, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction.jpg
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Maryland
Delegate count 5 0
Popular vote 3,488 2,492
Percentage 15.16% 10.83%

Alaska Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by State House District, 2016.svg
Alaska results by state house district
  Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump
  Ben Carson
Alaska Republican legislative district conventions, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 8,369 36.37% 12 0 12
Donald Trump 7,740 33.64% 11 0 11
Marco Rubio 3,488 15.16% 5 0 5
Ben Carson 2,492 10.83% 0 0 0
John Kasich 918 3.99% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 23,010 100.00% 28 0 28
Source: The Green Papers and Alaska Republican Party

Controversy

At the Republican National Convention, Alaska's floor votes were all recorded for Donald Trump by the convention secretary, even though the Alaska delegation read their votes according to the results of the caucuses- 12 for Cruz, 11 for Trump and 5 for Rubio. An Alaska delegate challenged the results as recorded. [14] However, RNC chair Reince Priebus defended the actions of the convention secretary, saying that the delegates were bound to Trump. [15]

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Alaska as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump [16]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump [17]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Trump [18]
  4. NBC: Lean Trump [19]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Likely Trump [20]
  6. Fox News: Lean Republican [21]
  7. ABC: Leans Trump [22]

Statewide results

U.S. presidential election in Alaska, 2016 [23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 163,387 51.28%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 116,454 36.55%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 18,725 5.88%
Independent Write-in 9,201 2.89%
Green Jill Stein 5,735 1.80%
Constitution Darrell Castle 3,866 1.21%
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 1,240 0.39%
Total votes 318,608 100.00%

Turnout

According to the Alaska Division of Election voter turnout was about 60.8%, 318,608 ballots were cast out of 528,761 voters.

Electors

Alaska had 3 electors in 2016; all of them voted for Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.

The electors were:

See also

References

  1. ^ "Alaska Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 29, 2016.
  2. ^ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  3. ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
  4. ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  5. ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
  7. ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  8. ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN  0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
  9. ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
  10. ^ Silver, Nate (December 5, 2012). "Alaska: Future Swing State?". New York Times. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
  11. ^ Azari, Julia. "The States That Love (And Hate) Third-Party Candidates". FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 15 July 2016.
  12. ^ "2012 Presidential General Election Results - Alaska". Dave Leip's Atlas of US Elections. Retrieved 24 October 2016.
  13. ^ Kitchenman, Andrew (2016-02-12). "How and when do Alaskans get to weigh in on presidential candidates?". Ktoo.org. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  14. ^ Carlson, Emily. "Chairman of Alaska's Rep party said he doesn't know why 28 delegates went @realDonaldTrump but "it's going to be corrected in record" @ktva". Twitter. Retrieved 23 July 2016.
  15. ^ Kopan, Tal; Payson-Denny, Wade. "Why Alaska's delegates were counted for Donald Trump". CNN. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. Retrieved 23 July 2016.
  16. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  17. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  18. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  19. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  20. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  21. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  22. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  23. ^ http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/16GENR/data/results.htm

External links