New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2016 Article

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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2016

←  2014 November 8, 2016 2018 →
  Christopher T Sununu.jpg Colin Van Ostern SNHU 2016 closeup.jpg
Nominee Chris Sununu Colin Van Ostern
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 354,040 337,589
Percentage 48.8% 46.6%

New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2016 results by municipality.svg
Results by municipality

Governor before election

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Elected Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican

The 2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primaries were held on September 13.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan would have been eligible to run for re-election to a third term in office, but instead, she successfully ran for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte. [1] [2] [3] [4] In the general election, Republican nominee Chris Sununu defeated Democrat Colin Van Ostern and Libertarian state representative Max Abramson.

Background

Governor Maggie Hassan, the incumbent from the Democratic Party, declined to run for reelection, choosing to seek a U.S. Senate seat instead. Both major parties had multiple declared candidates, leading to primary elections that were held September 13, 2016.

New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Connolly
Derek
Dextraze
Ian
Freeman
Steve
Marchand
Colin
Van Ostern
Other Undecided
InsideSources/NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 444 ± 5.1% 6.8% 0.7% 2.6% 5.8% 13.4% 70.6%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University May 25–28, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 5% 2% 12% 6% 74%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 458 ± 4.6% 15% 21% 64%

Results

Democratic primary results [16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Colin Van Ostern 37,696 51.99
Democratic Steve Marchand 18,338 25.29
Democratic Mark Connolly 14,840 20.47
Democratic Ian Freeman 1,069 1.47
Democratic Derek Dextraze 557 0.77
Total votes 72,500 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Frank Edelblut
  • 603 Alliance [25]
  • New Hampshire Liberty Alliance [26]
  • Fifty-seven current members of the New Hampshire House of Representatives: Chris Adams, Glen Aldrich, Keith Ammon, John Balcom, Steven Beaudoin, Rick Christie, James Coffey, Allen Cook, Susan Delemus, Dan Donovan, Eric Eastman, Tracy Emerick, Elizabeth Ferreira, Valerie Fraser, Harold French, Bart Fromuth, Dick Gordon, Linda Gould, Warren Groen, Joe Hannon, J.R. Hoell, Edith Hogan, Werner Horn, Ray Howard, Paul Ingbretson, Dan Itse, Tom Kaczynski, Joe Lachance, Don Lebrun, Don McClarren, Jim McConnell, Mark McLean, Carol McGuire, Dan McGuire, Josh Moore, Bill Ohm, Jeff Oligny, Jason Parent, Joe Pitre, Katherine Prudhomme-O'Brien, Kimberly Rice, Eric Schleien, Carl Seidel, Tammy Simmons, Kathleen Souza, Greg Smith, James Spillane, Victoria Sullivan, Mike Sylvia, Dan Tamburello, Len Turcotte, Jordan Ulery, Peter Varney, Michael Vose, Joshua Whitehouse, Ted Wright, Kurt Wuelper [27]
  • The Conway Daily Sun [28]
Jeanie Forrester
Ted Gatsas
Chris Sununu
Individuals
Newspapers

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Frank
Edelblut
Jeannie
Forrester
Ted
Gatsas
Jon
Lavoie
Chris
Sununu
Other Undecided
InsideSources/NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 619 ± 5.1% 4.4% 5.4% 20.7% 1.6% 27% 41%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University May 25–28, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 0% 7% 10% 44% 3% 36%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 454 ± 4.6% 12% 60% 28%

Results

Republican primary results [16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Sununu 34,137 30.68
Republican Frank Edelblut 33,149 29.79
Republican Ted Gatsas 22,840 20.53
Republican Jeanie Forrester 19,716 17.72
Republican John Lavoie 1,429 1.28
Total votes 111,271 100.00

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Gill, businessman [43]
  • Jilletta Jarvis, training project manager [44] [45]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [46] Tossup November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [47] Lean D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [48] Tossup November 3, 2016
Daily Kos [49] Tossup November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics [50] Tossup November 1, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Colin
Van Ostern (D)
Chris
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 696 ± 4.6% 55% 42% 3%
WMUR/UNH November 3–6, 2016 707 ± 3.7% 48% 37% 2% 13%
SurveyMonkey Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 672 ± 4.6% 56% 41% 3%
WMUR/UNH November 2–5, 2016 645 ± 3.7% 47% 38% 3% 12%
WMUR/UNH November 1–4, 2016 588 ± 3.7% 47% 37% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH Oct 31–Nov 3, 2016 515 ± 3.7% 47% 37% 2% 14%
SurveyMonkey Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 672 ± 4.6% 54% 42% 4%
Suffolk University Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 41% 6% 15%
American Research Group Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 48% 2% 6%
WMUR/UNH Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 466 ± 3.7% 46% 38% 2% 14%
WBUR/MassINC Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 500 LV ± 4.4% 44% 49% 1% 5%
43% 45% <1% 10%
UMass Lowell/7News Oct 28–Nov 2, 2016 695 LV ± 4.3% 43% 47% 5% 4%
901 RV ± 3.8% 41% 45% 5% 8%
SurveyMonkey Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 658 ± 4.6% 54% 42% 4%
Public Policy Polling Oct 31–Nov 1, 2016 781 ± 3.5% 47% 44% 9%
WMUR/UNH Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 468 ± 3.7% 43% 40% 3% 14%
WBUR/MassINC Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 44% 49% 1% 5%
43% 45% 10%
SurveyMonkey Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 635 ± 4.6% 53% 43% 4%
WMUR/UNH October 28–31, 2016 513 ± 3.7% 44% 40% 2% 14%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 659 ± 4.6% 53% 43% 4%
WMUR/UNH October 27–30, 2016 463 ± 3.7% 43% 40% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 26–30, 2016 641 ± 3.9% 43% 40% 2% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 26–29, 2016 516 ± 3.7% 42% 41% 5% 12%
InsideSources/NH Journal October 26–28, 2016 408 ± 4.2% 42% 45% 2% 11%
Monmouth University October 22–25, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 48% 43% 4% 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 20–24, 2016 768 LV ± 3.5% 47% 46% 2% 4%
1,020 RV ± 3.1% 47% 46% 2% 5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ October 17–21, 2016 772 ± 4.5% 44% 43% 6% 7%
42% 39% 5% 14%
WMUR/UNH October 11–17, 2016 770 ± 3.5% 44% 38% 4% 15%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 569 ± 0.5% 53% 43% 4%
WBUR/MassINC October 10–12, 2016 501 ± 4.4% 47% 44% 2% 8%
41% 41% 2% 15%
7News/UMass Lowell October 7–11, 2016 517 ± 4.9% 39% 41% 6% 13%
Suffolk University October 3–5, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 36% 40% 2% 20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Save the Children Action Network Sept 29–Oct 4, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 44% 44% 6% 6%
WBUR/MassINC September 27–29, 2016 502 ± 4.4% 44% 47% 2% 7%
41% 44% 2% 11%
American Research Group September 20–25, 2016 522 ± 4.2% 44% 45% 1% 10%
Monmouth University September 17–20, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 43% 49% 1% 7%
Gravis Marketing January 15–18, 2016 1,197 ± 2.8% 33% 47% 20%
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3.0% 35% 39% 26%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% 34% 40% 25%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 34% 41% 25%
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 32% 39% 29%
WMUR/UNH July 7–20, 2015 472 ± 4.5% 26% 36% 37%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 34% 37% 29%

Results

Results by county:
New Hampshire's gubernatorial election, 2016 [51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Sununu 354,040 48.84%
Democratic Colin Van Ostern 337,589 46.57%
Libertarian Max Abramson 31,243 4.29%
Total votes 724,863 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Results by county

County Sununu# Sununu% Van Ostern# Van Ostern% Abramson# Abramson% Scatter# Scatter% Total votes
Belknap 18,798 54.70% 14,069 40.94% 1,403 4.08% 94 0.00% 34,364
Carroll 15,192 52.38% 12,503 43.29% 1,126 3.90% 58 0.00% 28,879
Cheshire 17,107 42.25% 21,471 53.02% 1,802 4.45% 114 0.00% 40,494
Coos 7,424 48.90% 7,006 46.14% 702 4.62% 51 0.00% 15,183
Grafton 19,685 39.65% 27,621 55.64% 2,215 4.46% 122 0.00% 49,643
Hillsborough 103,811 49.70% 95,231 45.59% 9,128 4.37% 698 0.00% 208,868
Merrimack 37,295 45.51% 41,195 50.26% 3,245 3.96% 222 0.00% 81,957
Rockingham 94,385 53.52% 74,076 42.00% 7,499 4.25% 411 0.00% 176,371
Strafford 29,578 44.12% 34,173 50.97% 3,128 4.67% 164 0.00% 67,043
Sullivan 10,765 48.80% 10,244 46.43% 995 4.51% 57 0.00% 22,061

References

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  2. ^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_VSGBW8ADk Pundit prediction: Hassan knocks off Ayotte in 2016
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External links